What Historical Trends Say About Its Potential in 2025

Ethereum’s Q1 2025 saw a steep decline of -45.41%, but Q2 shows signs of recovery.
Historically, Ethereum performs strongly in Q2, with notable past gains in 2019 and 2020.
ETH’s average Q2 return of +60.23% supports a bullish outlook for the second quarter of 2025.

Ethereum experienced a significant drop of -45.41% in Q1 of 2025. However, experts remain optimistic about its future performance, given that the initial decline occurred early in the year. Analyst Carl Moon highlighted that historically, Q2 is a strong period for Ethereum, and the consistent trend supports his positive outlook for Ethereum’s potential growth in the upcoming months.

Source: X

Historical data shows that Q2 tends to generate positive prospects for Ethereum. According to CoinGlass data, the cryptocurrency market witnessed substantial returns in several second-quarter periods. Moreover, Ethereum’s performance reached +102.25% during Q2 of 2019, while its 2020 return amounted to +69.62%.

Ethereum’s Strong Q2 Trend

The market showed increased restraint during 2021, yet Ethereum it managed to achieve a solid +18.53% growth during Q2. The cryptocurrency’s historical pattern of Q2 recovery serves as a basis for validating Moon’s bullish position on ETH for 2025.

During Q2 of 2025, Ethereum demonstrated a minimal recovery with an increase of +0.75% in value. The modest positive return signals a recovery trend following Q1’s intense negative performance. This minimal positive gain in Q2 follows its established pattern of Q2 rebound, which creates hope for investors about future recovery potential.

However, some exceptional cases have also occurred. In Q2 of 2022, Ethereum declined substantially by -67.34%, though this result proved to be a rare exception. Historical data shows that the second quarter has produced positive returns for Ethereum, strengthening speculations about its continued strong performance throughout the year.

Related: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction May 2025: Will ETH Break $2,100 or Face Rejection?

On average, Ethereum has yielded +60.23% across nine years while maintaining +12.12% as its median profitable outcome. The data reveals that Ethereum tends to achieve better results in its Q2 performance than during other quarters, providing a strong foundation for Moon’s bullish forecast.

Meanwhile, the positive performance at the beginning of Q2 has renewed optimism among investors. Although the advancement of Ethereum is heavily influenced by the outcomes of its Q2 phase, investors will be closely observing Ethereum’s recovery to determine its performance in the remaining months.

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